Harirism in Lebanon: 21 years after Rafic Hariri, a nation’s struggle for balance

Opinion 13-02-2026 | 14:17

Harirism in Lebanon: 21 years after Rafic Hariri, a nation’s struggle for balance

As Lebanon marks 21 years since Rafic Hariri’s death, Saad Hariri’s influence and the power of Harirism face their biggest test yet.
Harirism in Lebanon: 21 years after Rafic Hariri, a nation’s struggle for balance
Targeting Saad Hariri goes beyond its hidden or overt internal implications (AFP)
Smaller Bigger

The 21 years since the assassination of Prime Minister Rafic Hariri on February 14, 2005, have not been as tense as the current situation leading up to this year's commemoration.

Naturally, there are many common elements in commemorating the other martyrs of the Cedar Revolution, whose march was led by Hariri's martyrdom, in terms of rejuvenating the rare constitutional and sovereign depth that gathered the streets, masses, and bases of those martyrs from the first earth-shattering assassination of Rafic Hariri to the mafioso assassination of thinker and activist Lokman Slim five years ago.

Even in the memory of leaders who were martyred before the war of the Hafez al-Assad and Iranian regimes against the symbols of the March 14 uprising, such as since the assassination of Kamal Jumblatt, Bachir Gemayel, and others, it is truly astonishing that the occasions of their commemoration and the revival of their biography act as a powerful engine that surpasses the power of any reality that has passed over time. Therefore, generations not born during their political lives are now fiercely loyal to them and to those who inherited their leadership thereafter.

This is a Lebanese peculiarity that requires independent, in‑depth research. However, in the case of political, social, national, and sectarian Harirism simultaneously, it is not an exaggeration to assert that the current interaction in the “streets” of this Harirism, across Lebanese regions — especially in the Sunni stronghold — is the largest resounding referendum for Saad Hariri personally, even with a surplus of constant yearning for his late father Rafic Hariri in the face of the anti‑Lebanon assault.


For more than four years, a fixed equation has been repeated with no change in sight, featuring the failure, fall, or collapse of all attempts aimed at uprooting political Harirism from the Lebanese reality in general and the Sunni reality in particular.

One cannot hide, diminish, or cover up the strange equation in which Harirism alone has "attracted" two assassinations: the first took the great founder, and the second forced his son into political withdrawal with an unimagined fierceness tied to his environment, characteristics, and allies, effectively suspending the presence of the strongest Sunni pulse ever in all of Lebanon.

All Lebanese concede to this, as the massive gap continues to widen in the Sunni street, causing serious disruption in the delicate Lebanese balance established after the Taif Agreement. When the Hafez al-Assad Syrian regime began attempts to empty and undermine it, the Maronites and Christians in general were its first targets—until Rafic Hariri was assassinated, causing the second significant imbalance that continues until now.

 

Perhaps the grave common mistake currently being spread ahead of the 21st anniversary of Rafic Hariri’s assassination is the confinement of the tension and agitation to the decision that Saad Hariri will announce regarding the participation or non-participation of Hariri supporters in the upcoming parliamentary elections. This coincidence with the anniversary and the launch of preparations for the parliamentary elections in May naturally fuels the intensity surrounding a pivotal decision, as many believe that non-involvement of Harirism in the electoral process this time could lead to its erosion in future eras, given the significant impact of its permanent absence from power, influence, and presence both in politics and on the street.

 

While there is much truth to this equation, it will not fully account for the severe repercussions of Harirism’s exclusion. The targeting of Saad Hariri—as bizarre media and political stages have shown in the last two weeks specifically—has exceeded its internal implications, revealed or veiled, reaching into matters not yet disclosed even to those involved in targeting Saad Hariri, his movement, and his street. In these circumstances, a broader and stronger struggle, deeper than the Lebanese street, is taking shape at this juncture and will not subside with any decision Saad Hariri makes, as if the curse of arena conflicts never departs from Lebanon.

 

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by the writers are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of Annahar.