Amid increasing talk of an imminent American strike on Iran, the question remains: Will Hezbollah act in support of Tehran?

With heightened risk of military confrontation between the United States and Iran, Lebanon has found itself acutely interested in the the military and diplomatic developments of the region. Three factors signal risk.

The first was a precautionary measure taken by the U.S. State Department, which involved recalling a number of embassy employees on Monday, February 23rd.

The second is a growing suspicion in Lebanese political circles that Hezbollah might seriously consider conducting military operations to support their Iranian sponsor.

Image published by the U.S. Central Command via X account.

The third factor was revealed by two senior Lebanese officials: an indirect Israeli message stating that Israel would respond forcefully and target civilian infrastructure—including the airport—if Hezbollah participated in any conflict between Washington and Tehran.

The warning moves the scope of concern off Lebanon's southern borders and to the heart of its vital infrastructure.

This concern was also voiced by Lebanese Foreign Minister Youssef Rajji from Geneva, where he stated, "There are indications that the Israelis might strike forcefully in the event of escalation, including potential attacks on strategic infrastructure such as the airport."

He added, on the sidelines of his participation in a session of the United Nations Human Rights Council, “We are currently undertaking diplomatic efforts to ensure that Lebanese civilian infrastructure is not targeted, even in the event of reactions or retaliatory operations.”